月曜日, 4月 12, 2004

(Cont'd from below. VERY LATE)

A Tale of Three Panels: I went to the Weatherhead Center panel on March 18, two days before the March 20 election, the Taiwan Workshop panel on April 8, and the Taiwanese Cultural Society panel, today--which I actually helped out in organizing. Each one had a different look and feel--the Weatherhead one was a no-nonsense academic affair, though I didn't feel that their choice of Chinese scholar was adequate for the discussion. (Well, I can read the People's Daily.) The Taiwan Workshop event was quite a posh, lavish affair, from a speech from the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian Affairs to the Charles Hotel location. Our little panel today was a much more modest affair, but turnout was good, and the speakers excellent. What I enjoyed even more was the chance to have dinner with Prof. Goldstein afterwards. He's pessimistic about Taiwan--believes she's heading into "The Perfect Storm," having talked to Taiwanese officials who believe that China is bluffing and Chinese officials who are no longer confident that time is on their side. The PRC may feel that it needs to force the issue now.


On a minor note: I was amused by Prof. Goldstein's assessments of the traditionally pro-unification KMT and pro-independence DPP. The KMT were like "deer caught in the headlights," having run a terrible campaign that only reacted to the DPP agenda. Chen Shui-Bian and the DPP, on the other hand, ran a very effective campaign. "The DPP can do everything except govern."